Survey: survey about another astrology experiment



1. (required) Do you generally believe that astrology works? (i.e. that an astrologer can use astrological techniques to help give advice or predict future events)

(NOTE: please do not read any further until you have selected an answer to this question)

Yes
No


2. (required) Suppose a scientist did the following experiment:

A group of volunteers have their birthdates and other information used to generate a "star chart" for each volunteer, of the kind used by professional astrologers. Each volunteer also takes a personality test, and the results are used to generate a personality profile, of the kind used by psychologists.

Then, for the experiment, an astrologer is given a volunteer's star chart, along with three different personality profiles -- one from the actual volunteer, and two others chosen at random -- without knowing which profile comes from the volunteer. The astrologer's task is to determine which personality profile corresponds to the volunteer whose star chart they are looking at.

This test is repeated multiple times for each astrologer, and for many different astrologers. Do you think that on average, the astrologers' predictions would score no better than random chance (correct 1/3 of the time), or would score better than random chance (correct more than 1/3 of the time)?

On average, the astrologer's predictions would not score better than random chance
On average, the astrologer's predictions would score better than random chance


3. (required) Suppose a scientist did the experiment described in the previous question, and found that astrologers scored no better than random chance. Would this scientist's findings decrease your belief in astrology? (If you answered Question 1 by saying you did not believe in astrology, pick "Not Applicable" below.)

Yes, this would decrease my belief in astrology
No, this would not decrease my belief in astrology
Not applicable -- I answered Question 1 by saying I did not believe in astrology